Market Studies
By Carrie Bay | 09/01/2010
In the first quarter of 2010, state housing finance agencies' (HFAs) delinquencies declined for the first time since overall performance of loans began to deteriorate in the second quarter of 2008, according to Standard & Poor's. But the agency's analysts say the slowdown could be only temporary. S&P's study shows delinquency rates for HFA loans remain high relative to a year ago. However, the percentage of HFA loans at least 60 days past due or in foreclosure decreased to 6.05 percent in Q1, down from 6.57 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009.
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By Carrie Bay | 09/01/2010
The industry has completed 1.13 million permanent loan modifications for at-risk homeowners so far in 2010, according to data released Wednesday by HOPE NOW.
The organization also reports that since January of this year, mortgage delinquencies of 60 days or more past due have dropped 20 percent, but the data supports the assumption that the decline is simply the byproduct of an increase in foreclosures. July's foreclosure starts outpaced loan mods during the month by nearly 90 percent.
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By Carrie Bay | 09/01/2010
Mortgage interest rates have dropped to their lowest level in decades, and even with tight credit conditions, more borrowers are beginning to take advantage. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported Wednesday that its index measuring mortgage loan application volume increased 2.7 percent for the week ending August 27, 2010, after interest rates dropped yet again. Refinance activity was up 2.8 percent, while home purchase applications rose 1.8 percent.
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By Carrie Bay | 08/31/2010
The FDIC said Tuesday that the number of banks on the agency's so-called "Problem List" has risen to 829, up from 775 at the end of the first quarter of 2010.
The number of troubled institutions now under the FDIC's watchful eye is the highest it's been since March 1993, when the savings and loan crisis was in full swing. The 2010 failed-bank tally stands at 118.
More banks may be deemed as "problem," but the FDIC says the banking sector overall enjoyed its most profitable quarter since the start of the recession.
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By Carrie Bay | 08/31/2010
Home prices rose in June for the third consecutive month - a precipitate of the homebuyer tax credit that sparked a flurry of purchase activity in the spring. Buyer demand, though, has now dropped off substantially, and it's a trend that will likely rob the market of the recent rebound in home prices.
According to the S&P/Case-Shiller index released Tuesday, home prices rose 1.0 percent in June compared to May. While June itself was positive, growth rates have already decelerated in 14 of the 20 metros included in S&P's study.
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By Carrie Bay | 08/31/2010
U.S. consumers are less satisfied with their experience during the loan modification process than they are during loan origination, namely because mortgage servicers are missing the mark when it comes to delivering on best practices, according to J.D. Power and Associates. The company's survey found that mortgage servicers fail to adhere to a time frame for approval, don't provide the customer with status updates, and repeatedly ask borrowers for the same information. BB&T ranks highest in customer satisfaction among mortgage servicers.
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By Carrie Bay | 08/30/2010
Moody's Investors Service says it expects home price appreciation to be "soft" for the next couple of years.
The company says there were 1.8 million more vacant homes sitting on the market than what is considered the norm at the end of the second quarter, reflecting a rise in the number of homes that lenders are repossessing. According to Moody's, it will not be until 2012 that demand and supply conditions are balanced enough to drive price appreciation that matches the pace of inflation.
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By Carrie Bay | 08/30/2010
In a rare break from what has been the norm throughout the recession, this weekend saw no bank closings. Since January 2008, more than 280 banks and thrifts have collapsed, most as a direct result of problems in the real estate markets. The research firm Foresight Analytics estimates that 200, and possibly 300 to 400, banks are at risk of failure over the next 12 to 24 months, but the company says a number of community banks have begun to shed some of their problem commercial real estate loans.
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By Carrie Bay | 08/30/2010
Freddie Mac released the results of its second quarter Conventional Mortgage Home Price Index (CMHPI) Monday. The index measures property values based on home loans originated in Q2 and purchased by Freddie and its sibling mortgage financier Fannie Mae.
The CMHPI Purchase-Only Series for the United States registered a 3.1 percent increase in the second quarter relative to the first quarter. For the first time since the second quarter of 2009, prices rose in all nine Census divisions.
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By Carrie Bay | 08/27/2010
The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) offered the industry a ray of hope when it reported Thursday that foreclosure starts were down nearly 10 percent in Q2, but the brightness quickly faded when Lender Processing Services (LPS) released its own dataset.
MBA's numbers were based on data through the end of June. LPS reports that by the end of July, foreclosure starts had jumped back up by 24.5 percent. It's the fourth highest level ever recorded by the company.
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