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Home | News | REO (page 5)

Why Are Discounted Distressed Sales Not Pulling Down Non-Distressed Home Prices?

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When distressed properties account for a large share of all residential home sales, it tends to pull down the prices of non-distressed homes, since foreclosed and REO properties typically sell at a discount to non-distressed homes. Data released by CoreLogic shows that as of late, however, the still-high distressed sales share is not causing non-distressed prices to fall.

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Shrinking REO Inventory Drives Down Cash Sales Share

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At their peak in January 2011, cash sales accounted for nearly half of all residential home sales in the United States (46.5 percent). Since then, that percentage has steadily declined; in August 2015, it was reported at 31.7 percent, less than one-third of all home sales—a decline of more than 3 percentage points from August 2014, when it was 34.9 percent.

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Distressed Sales Continue Descent Toward Historical Norms

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The distressed sales share, which includes sales of REO properties and short sales, was reported to be 9.3 percent for August 2015, down 2.3 percentage points from August 2014. August’s distressed sales share of 9.3 percent is the lowest since September 2007 and is less than a third off from its peak in January 2009, when it made up nearly a third of total residential home sales (32.4 percent).

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Cash Sales Share Drops to Nine-Year Low

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With July’s decline, the cash sales share has fallen year-over-year every month since January 2013, a total of 31 consecutive months, according to CoreLogic. July 2015’s reported share of 30.8 percent was a dropoff from the share of 34.2 percent reported in July 2014. As has historically been the case, REO sales made up 56 percent of cash sales in July 2015, and resales had the second highest share at 30.2 percent.

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