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IHS Global Insight

Four States Back at Peak Employment: IHS

By Tory Barringer | 05/21/2012

The report, put together by IHS U.S. Regional Economist Steven Frable, stated that Alaska, North Dakota, Texas, and Louisiana have all reached or passed their prerecession employment levels, with Alaska and North Dakota reporting peak employment in 2010-11. These four states are also experiencing the most benefits from the current energy boom. Many other states have bounced almost all the way back, coming within 1 percent of their employment peaks.
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Economists Give Their Take on April's Troubling Employment Numbers

By Esther Cho | 05/04/2012

The economy added 115,000 jobs, and the unemployment rate dropped to 8.1 percent. With an upward revision of 53,000, March's payroll growth is now 159,000. Economists expected payrolls to grow by 165,000 for April. The government sector cut 15,000 jobs, and the private sector added 130,000 jobs. With these reported numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, economists from IHS Global Insight, Capital Economics, and Fannie Mae provided their own analysis on what the numbers really mean and what they may indicate for the future.
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Life After Case-Shiller Report: Projecting Trends

By Esther Cho | 02/28/2012

While the Case-Shiller indexes reported new lows for house prices for the end of 2011, responses from analysts are mixed when determining what the data means for home values in the long run. Experts representing Capital Economics, IHS Global Insight, and Standard and Poor’s assessed the implications of the data for the future. While Capital Economics believes the decline may come to an end after a few more months, others are expecting this trend to continue into 2012.
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Mortgage Debt in the U.S. Continues to Contract

By Carrie Bay | 12/16/2011

The ongoing turmoil still gripping housing markets across the country has manifested itself in the Federal Reserve's macro assessment of household wealth and capital flow. With foreclosure stripping millions of Americans of their largest asset and potential homebuyers still watching for the market bottom, the total sum of home mortgage debt in the U.S. has dropped to its lowest level in nearly five years. Outstanding mortgage debt contracted by 1.8 percent over the third-quarter period to $9.88 trillion.
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Unemployment Rate Drops to 8.6%

By Carrie Bay | 12/02/2011

The nation's unemployment rate fell to 8.6 percent during the month of November, as employers added 120,000 new jobs to their payrolls, the U.S. Department of Labor said Friday. By the government's calculations, the unemployment rate declined by 0.4 percentage point from 9.0 percent reported in October to hit its lowest level since March of 2009. Employment assessments for both October and September were revised upward. Analysts were expecting the economy to add 125,000 new jobs last month, but the rate to hold at 9.0 percent.
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Prices of Homes Backing GSE Mortgages Up 0.2% in Third Quarter

By Carrie Bay | 11/29/2011

Home prices rose in the third quarter of 2011, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency's (FHFA) house price index released Tuesday. The index is calculated using home sales price information from Fannie Mae- and Freddie Mac-acquired mortgages. It rose 0.2 percent between the second and third quarters. Even with the marginal uptick during the summer months, FHFA's gauge shows that over the past year, home prices have fallen 3.7 percent when compared to the third quarter of 2010.
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FHFA's Home Price Index Breaks Four-Month Run of Gains

By Carrie Bay | 10/25/2011

The monthly home price index from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has recorded its first decline since March. FHFA reported Tuesday that home prices in the U.S. fell 0.1 percent from July to August, and the previously reported 0.8 percent increase recorded for July was revised to reflect no change. Data released the very same day by Standard & Poor's showed a 0.2 percent increase in the Case-Shiller home price index for the same period. Economists say FHFA's index is "a better barometer."
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Existing-Home Sales Slip 3% as Seasonal Slowdown Sets In: Report

By Carrie Bay | 10/20/2011

Sales of previously owned homes slipped 3 percent between August and September, according to data released by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) Thursday. That follows a jump of nearly 19 percent between July and August. The decline was widely expected as sales activity follows the typical seasonal cycle and heads lower with the mercury in the thermometer. Distressed homes accounted for 30 percent of sales in September. Eighteen percent were foreclosed homes and 12 percent were pre-foreclosure short sales.
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Existing-Home Sales Jump Nearly 19% From Last Year

By Carrie Bay | 09/21/2011

Last month's 18.6 percent surge in existing-home sales from a year earlier had some market observers doing a double-take, but Galen Ward, who runs a real estate brokerage web site, says it wasn't unexpected. Michael Simonsen of Altos Research says anything is going to look good coming off the market's tax-credit hangover this time last year. But the fact that the median home price was down more than 5 percent from August 2010 at the same time sales jumped so sharply is one of the most telling stats for Clear Capital's Alex Villacorta.
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Market Conditions Make for Even Longer 'Extended Period' in Fed's Eyes

By Carrie Bay | 08/09/2011

The Federal Reserve put a conditional timestamp on its interest rate policy Tuesday - a different voice from the "extended period" mantra heard from the U.S. central bank for the past two-and-a-half years. The Fed's board again voted to hold the target range for the rate at which banks lend to one another at 0 to 0.25 percent, but this time they included an advisory that the rate would remain at this level for the next two years. Officials cited the "depressed" state of the housing market as one of the economy's biggest hindrances.
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