Standard & Poor's
By Carrie Bay | 05/14/2012
It will take 46 months to clear the market's supply of distressed homes, or the shadow inventory, according to estimates from Standard & Poor's Rating Services based on first-quarter 2012 data. While national residential mortgage liquidation rates appeared stable over the first three months of this year, these rates varied widely between local markets. Regional variations in how quickly servicers can clear the backlog of nonperforming loans are primarily due to differences in foreclosure procedures. S&P says its months-to-clear estimate in judicial states is almost 2.5x as long as non-judicial states.
Read More
By Mark Lieberman, Five Star Institute Economist | 04/24/2012
The Case-Shiller Home Price Indexes fell for the sixth straight month in February with the 10- and 20-city indices each dropping 0.8 percent from January, Standard & Poor's, which compiles the indexes, reported Tuesday morning. The 10-city index slid to its lowest level since May 2003 and the 20-city index dropped to its lowest level since October 2002.
Prices fell in 16 of the 20 cities surveyed, improving month-month in only Miami, Phoenix and San Diego. Prices were unchanged month-month in Dallas. Prices were down year-year in 15 of the 20 cities, improving only in Denver, Detroit, Miami, Minneapolis and Phoenix.
Read More
By Carrie Bay | 04/18/2012
Data through March 2012, released this week by S&P Indices and Experian showed that, with the exception of bank cards, all consumer loan types saw a decrease in default rates for the third consecutive month and in March, posted their lowest rates since the end of the recent economic crisis. The first mortgage default rate decreased to 1.88 percent in March, according to the agencies' report. Second mortgage defaults declined to 1.03 percent over the same period.
Read More
By Carrie Bay | 03/28/2012
Tuesday's S&P/Case-Shiller release on home prices was labeled "disappointing" by a number of analysts and market participants as both the 10- and 20-city composites and eight cities set new cycle lows. With the Case-Shiller numbers failing to fit the mold of improving market conditions, several commentary notes from analysts dismissed the latest results as "old news," with a two-month lag time and home price assessments based on three-month averages. S&P's index committee chairman took to the web to defend the Case-Shiller report against naysayers.
Read More
By Mark Lieberman, Five Star Institute Economist | 03/27/2012
The Case-Shiller Home Price Indexes fell for the fifth straight month in January, with the 10- and 20-city composites each dropping 0.8 percent from December, Standard & Poor's, which compiles the indices, reported Tuesday morning. The 10-city index slid to its lowest level since May 2003 and the 20-city index dropped to its lowest level since December 2002. Home prices fell in 16 of 19 major cities during the month of January.
Read More
By Esther Cho | 02/28/2012
While the Case-Shiller indexes reported new lows for house prices for the end of 2011, responses from analysts are mixed when determining what the data means for home values in the long run. Experts representing Capital Economics, IHS Global Insight, and Standard and Poor’s assessed the implications of the data for the future. While Capital Economics believes the decline may come to an end after a few more months, others are expecting this trend to continue into 2012.
Read More
By Mark Lieberman, Five Star Institute Economist | 02/28/2012
All three headline composites of the S&P/Case Shiller Index ended 2011 at new lows. The national composite fell by 3.8 percent during the fourth quarter of 2011 and was down 4.0 percent versus the fourth quarter of 2010. Both the 10- and 20-city composites fell by 1.1 percent in December over November, and posted annual returns of -3.9 percent and -4.0 percent versus December 2010, respectively. With these latest data, all three composites are at their lowest levels since the housing crisis began in mid-2006.
Read More
By Carrie Bay | 01/31/2012
Data released Tuesday morning by Standard & Poor's for its S&P/Case-Shiller home price index showed declines in November of 3.6 percent for the 10-city composite and 3.7 percent for the 20-city composite when compared to price levels from a year earlier.
Analysts were expecting a year-over-year drop in the range of 3.2 to 3.4 percent. Eighteen cities were in negative territory. Detroit and Washington, D.C. were the only exceptions. At -11.8 percent Atlanta continued to post the lowest annual return.
Read More
By Krista Franks | 01/26/2012
Illinois Attorney General Lisa Madigan filed a lawsuit against Standard & Poor's this week alleging the ratings agency inflated ratings of mortgage-backed securities investments - an act Madigan believes triggered the financial crisis. The suit, filed in Cook County Circuit Court, relies on internal emails from within the ratings agency as evidence of the company's misrepresentations of risk. Madigan references congressional testimony from a former managing director at S&P, stating "profits were running the show."
Read More
By Carrie Bay | 01/13/2012
The ratings agency Standard & Poor's says investors can cut their losses by basing servicer selection on key performance metrics of default management. The company has come up with a new method to assess residential mortgage servicer performance that looks at how the speed of the servicers' foreclosure processes and the success of their loan modification programs affect investors' losses on nonperforming loans, and S&P says it's found "significant differences" among 10 of the largest servicers.
Read More
